Saturday, November 14, 2026 brings 8 saved Nations League forecasts, with 5,000 pre-match simulations for each game. Start with the results at a glance, then open each SIM sheet for the detail.
Win and draw probabilities, average goals, and score frequencies summarize all 5,000 runs for each match. Team-only sheets contain match forecasts, without player predictions or a selected replay. Model snapshots through Nov 14, 8:37 AM ET.
The results at a glance
| Match | Kickoff | Home win | Draw | Away win | Average goals Home–away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kosovo vs Israel | 9:00 AM ET | 57.9% | 22.2% | 20.0% | 1.74–0.91 |
| Norway vs Wales | 12:00 PM ET | 71.3% | 18.0% | 10.7% | 2.21–0.73 |
| Georgia vs Hungary | 12:00 PM ET | 41.1% | 29.5% | 29.4% | 1.20–0.98 |
| Portugal vs Denmark | 2:45 PM ET | 64.8% | 20.1% | 15.1% | 2.14–0.95 |
| Romania vs Poland | 2:45 PM ET | 37.0% | 24.9% | 38.1% | 1.46–1.50 |
| Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2:45 PM ET | 60.6% | 22.2% | 17.2% | 1.92–0.94 |
| Austria vs Ireland | 2:45 PM ET | 62.8% | 21.4% | 15.8% | 2.01–0.92 |
| Northern Ireland vs Ukraine | 2:45 PM ET | 47.6% | 26.9% | 25.5% | 1.42–0.97 |
Kosovo vs Israel
UEFA Nations League · 9:00 AM ET · Team forecast
Kosovo wins 57.9% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 22.2%, and Israel wins 20.0%. Average sim goals are 1.74–0.91; the most common score is 1–0 (11.98%).
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Norway vs Wales
UEFA Nations League · 12:00 PM ET · Team forecast
Norway wins 71.3% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 18.0%, and Wales wins 10.7%. Average sim goals are 2.21–0.73; the most common score is 2–0 (12.98%).
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Georgia vs Hungary
UEFA Nations League · 12:00 PM ET · Team forecast
Georgia wins 41.1% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 29.5%, and Hungary wins 29.4%. Average sim goals are 1.20–0.98; the most common score is 1–0 (13.84%).
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Portugal vs Denmark
UEFA Nations League · 2:45 PM ET · Team forecast
Portugal wins 64.8% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 20.1%, and Denmark wins 15.1%. Average sim goals are 2.14–0.95; the most common score is 2–0 (10.64%).
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Romania vs Poland
UEFA Nations League · 2:45 PM ET · Team forecast
Romania wins 37.0% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 24.9%, and Poland wins 38.1%. Average sim goals are 1.46–1.50; the most common score is 1–1 (11.84%).
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Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
UEFA Nations League · 2:45 PM ET · Team forecast
Sweden wins 60.6% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 22.2%, and Bosnia and Herzegovina wins 17.2%. Average sim goals are 1.92–0.94; the most common score is 1–0 (11.22%).
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Austria vs Ireland
UEFA Nations League · 2:45 PM ET · Team forecast
Austria wins 62.8% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 21.4%, and Ireland wins 15.8%. Average sim goals are 2.01–0.92; the most common score is 1–0 (10.98%).
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Northern Ireland vs Ukraine
UEFA Nations League · 2:45 PM ET · Team forecast
Northern Ireland wins 47.6% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 26.9%, and Ukraine wins 25.5%. Average sim goals are 1.42–0.97; the most common score is 1–0 (13.26%).
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Reading the simulations
These are model estimates from saved pre-match inputs, not guarantees. Average sim goals are modeled regulation goals, not observed shot xG. The model has no validated adjustment for starting-XI strength. Match pages provide more detail behind each forecast.